“Debris should have washed up in Western Australia long before it washed up anywhere else.” Wise is an independent MH370 researcher who has written frequently and served as a CNN commentator on the Malaysia Airlines mystery.
The official search for the missing Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370, which vanished on March 8 of 2014, has continued since September of that year in a stretch of the remote, southern Indian Ocean that investigators have identified as the most likely crash site for the Boeing 777.
But a new statistical analysis by mathematician Brock Mc Ewen, examining ocean drift patterns in the region, has found that the discovery of five pieces of debris believed to be part of the Malaysia Airlines plane indicate that Flight MH370 may not be where the searchers have been combing the ocean floor for the past 20 months — at a cost of nearly $70 million without finding a single trace of the plane.
A piece of the plane’s wing, known as a “flaperon” was discovered on Reunion Island in the western Indian Ocean in July of last year, and four more pieces of debris were discovered earlier this year on the coasts of Mozambique, Mauritius, and South Africa, all in the same area of the Indian Ocean as Reunion Island.
But according to the Mc Ewen study, if Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 actually crashed in the location where the Australian Transportation Safety Board has been searching, additional debris should have also washed up on the shores of western Australia. “No matter how he changed the parameters, the result came back the same,” wrote science writer Jeff Wise on his blog, summarizing the highly technical Mc Ewen study.
The full Brock Mc Ewen statistical study can be viewed by clicking on this link.
The following The Mc Ewen study follows a previous analysis conducted last September by researchers at Gemany’s GEOMAR-Helmholtz Institute for Ocean Research, which came to similar conclusions.
That study, which used computer simulations to track 2 million separate debris patterns of objects in the Indian Ocean, found that for the flaperon to have reached Reunion Island, the plane must have crashed somewhere well to the north of the official search area.
GEOMAR Researcher Arne Biastoch told a German newspaper this week that the location of the newer debris findings support his team’s conclusions “perfectly.” The ATSB based its conclusions about where the plane must have crashed based on the assumption that Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 was flying blind, a “ghost ship” with no one at the controls, which simply flew until it ran out of fuel, then crashed.
But according to Wise, if indeed the Malaysia Airlines plane flew north of where the ATSB believes the 777 crashed into the ocean, something more sinister may have been at work.